USD/CNH: Fixing normalizes – OCBS

USD/CNH: Fixing normalizes – OCBS

USD/CNH traded briefly above 7.31 before turning lower into the week’s close, OCBC FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

The pair moves lower tracked broad USD pullback

“Move lower tracked broad US Dollar (USD) pullback while daily fixing reverted to +5pips/day last week (vs. +15 pips/day during 19 – 28 Jun). Today’s fixing came in at -3pips at 7.1286 (vs. 7.1289 on Fri).”

“That said, recent USD/CNY fixings continued to follow a pattern that reinforced our view that authorities are pursuing a measured pace of RMB depreciation, in attempt to let out some depreciation pressure. We believe the Intent is not to pursue a big bang approach so as not to undermine sentiments (for fear of accelerating outflows) – we continue to monitor.”

“But overall, higher USD/CNY fix, wider CNH-CNY spread and worries of escalation in US-China trade tensions may imply some concerns on RMB in the immediate horizon. USDCNH was last at 7.2867 levels. Mild bullish on daily chart eased but decline in RSI moderated. 2-way risks. Resistance at 7.31, 7.3440 (previous high in Oct 2023). Support at 7.28, 7.2770 (21 DMA) and 7.26 (50 DMA).”

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Read More

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *